HURRICANE IRMA: AFTERMATH, A POLITICALLY INCORRECT ANALYSIS
90% of all structures have been destroyed or severely damaged. Infrastructure is in very bad shape. The destruction is unimaginable. 45M are affected.
Water, food, and gas supplies are non-existent. Power is out everywhere. There is no way out for the masses. The death toll is mounting and will run into the thousands.
Help is on the way. It always is. These islands are poor, a vast number of people live below the poverty level. The prospect for enough foreign aid is bleak because some are independent without links to a prosperous mother country. The task seems hopeless in the amount of money needed is unfathomable.
They live off tourism which provides 90% of their revenue. Paradise is gone, the social fabric has broken down. The desperation level is unimaginable.
Estimates 5 years out is what it is going to take to restore any resemblance of what the islands used to look like. Why would any tourist want to vacation on these ravaged islands?
Are the large hotel chains going to rebuild? Will cruise ships plan their routes to St. Martin, Cuba, Antiqua, Dominican and the other 10 islands?
POLITICALLY INCORRECT QUESTIONS:
1. Are these islands worth saving?
2. Can the populations be shifted to other locations?
3. Which countries are going to accept refugees?
4. With no FEMA to organize and no central organization to take charge, how are the islands ever going to recover?
5. Is the scope of destruction so vast that it cannot be repaired? Where is the money going to come from?
6. Can we expect a similar disaster in the upcoming years?
FLORIDA KEYS AND US POSSESSIONS:
The Florida keys, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands are different. They have United States to back them as well as insurance companies to pay for the repairs. Providing they don’t go broke. It is certain they will be rebuilt. That’s how the US runs things.
Looming over the fate of The Caribbean islands is the prospect of future tropical disasters down Hurricane Alley. Irma was not the first one to hit, nor will it be the last.
“Those who fail to learn from history are condemned to repeat it.” This quote is particularly relevant to the Caribbean.
A realistic assessment must be made on an individual basis with each island to decide whether to rebuild or abandon. This decision will never be made as there is no one to make it. Political correctness and pragmatism don’t run parallel, they are opposites. They only intersect when PC runs into the stonewall of pragmatism.
Ultimately, the fate of these islands will be determined by the amount of money that is going to be thrown at them and the will and strength of its residents. Will it be enough? I think not.
A simple question can be asked. Would you live at the base of a volcano? The very same thing applies to the Caribbean islands.