NORTH KOREA: THERE WAS NEVER A WAR THAT WAS EASIER TO START OR STOP.
An analysis follows of the players’ positions.
KIM JONG UN:…
He is unpredictable. Combine his mental illness with absolute power, he is most dangerous. Now he has the Bomb with an ICBM delivery that will soon reach California, then DC.
He murders his family, brutalizes political prisoners and is hell bent on destroying his neighbors and the West. Comparisons to Hitler or Stalin are valid.
He is the mouse that roared. He will not flinch.
China supplies 85% of NK natural resources, food, and technology. It has the most to lose with a military solution. A mass migration triggered by a US strike would create panic causing millions to flock to the Chinese border. This is Chna’s biggest fear.
They like the status quo. They don’t want a unified Korea because it would increase US military presence.
China will not flinch.
THE UNITED STATES:
Peace and Appeasement are not on speaking terms. While it seems that they are allies, not so, they are likely opposites. The policy of Appeasement by our last three presidents has not worked. It was a combination of compromises, sanctions, and financial aid which yielded broken promises by NK. They only encouraged development of a nuclear arsenal and a missile delivery system.
The US has chosen persuasion over coercion. Our lack of decisive action has allowed an emboldened KJU to think he can do whatever he wants. He knows we will do nothing. That is why China sits on the sidelines tight lipped.
Technology is the key to a preemtive strike that would take out the border artillery, missile and nuclear installations and storage. Seoul is only 30 miles away. If the timing is not perfect, 10M will be wiped out.
Trump wil not flinch.
IT’S DOWN TO A GAME OF CHICKEN, WHO WILL FLINCH FIRST?
Will the US pull the trigger? Time is short, very short. Mr. President, make up your mind.